Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months in areas with recently observed rises if covid protocols followed: ICMR

Covid Curve May Go Flat In 3 Months In Areas With Recently Observed Rises If Covid Protocols Followed: Icmr
Covid Curve May Go Flat In 3 Months In Areas With Recently Observed Rises If Covid Protocols Followed: Icmr

Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months: PUNE: The active Covid-19 curve could begin to flatten within 3 months in locations tape-recording recent upsurges if Covid procedures are followed and if one acts properly, said additional director general of Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), Dr Samiran Panda, as covid cases continue increasing tremendously in the country.

Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months in areas with recently observed rises if covid protocols followed: ICMR

With covid cases increasing tremendously in almost all states and the overall Omicron tally reaching over 2700 with Maharashtra topping the count followed by Delhi, Rajasthan, Kerala, Karnataka, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu, the researcher stated that regardless of the sharp spike, the covid curve would flatten by following covid protocols, avoiding mass gatherings and individuals need to prevent non-essential travel and use appropriate mask and states ought to scale up vaccination.

Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months in areas with recently observed rises if covid protocols followed: ICMR

“The projection that we have produced through modelling exercise shows that if Omicron is dominant it will dramatically go upwards but will go downwards in three months time,”said the scientist.

Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months in areas with recently observed rises if covid protocols followed: ICMR
He further warns that some areas may have various versions spreading out so one can not neglect the recently observed rise by stating that Omicron is mild and does not follow covid procedure. “One has to ensure to avoid events and use mask,’ he stated.
He said that while major cities have Omicron as a major version, locations in the northeast it is more of a Delta so one is seeing more pressure on the health system, unlike Omicron-dominated states.
The ICMR researcher believes that the country does not have a homogenous representation of the epidemic.” In the East and northeast Delta is dominant, Omicron is predominant in these states such as Maharashtra and Delhi followed by others and population density with neglect towards Covid appropriate habits is driving the epidemic” he noted. He stated that states have actually been directed to prepared a state-specific action after critically analysing state specific data.
“We require to appreciate that the large high number of Omicron contaminated people will result in a considerable variety of people requiring institutional care although the approximated proportion of contaminated people needing such care would look little.

Covid Curve may go flat in 3 months in areas with recently observed rises if covid protocols followed: ICMR

Caution is therefore warranted,” he said With states being asked to take a look at the data carefully, ICMR feels that each state and each district ought to look at its data and attempt to graphically represent them to find out in which stage of the epidemic or wave of the epidemic they remain in.

“The nation as a whole is not in one consistent phase and an assessment of state disaggregated information can figure out which stage each state remains in and so we can rule out the entire nation to be in a particular wave,” he described.

Data has shown that in some states Omicron is changing Delta while in some other states it is Delta which is still predominant and this heterogeneous circulation one has to remember to forecast the impact of a recently observed upsurge in SARS-COV-2 infection in various states on the health system.

As it is observed in the neighborhood where Omicron circulation is less than Delta, the impact would be more on the health system as medical severity come across in people contaminated with Delta version is more compared to that in Omicron.

Nevertheless, the effect of Delta flattens if there is an excellent usage of vaccination and it is a combination of multiple aspects such as covid procedures, avoidance of mass gathering, and non-essential travel and vaccination protection in a state that would figure out the shape of the epidemic in a specific state mentioned the ICMR scientist.

On the DCGI authorized Omicron spotting RT-PCR testing kits that were developed in partnership with Tata and ICMR, the researcher stated that the kits were helping states to contain Omicron spread, as it assists states identify the cases easily within 4 hours assisting to enhance the genome sequencing efforts, adds the scientist.

Released at Fri, 07 Jan 2022 04:10:59 -0500

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